Impacts

Global Warming

Global warming patterns, records, and projections — 2023–2024 were the warmest years in 125,000 years, with 2024 the first calendar year to exceed the Paris Agreement 1.5°C limit.

Global warming is the global average (land-sea) temperature increase from 1850-1900

Global warming is accelerating for sure: March 2026 Global Warming Has Accelerated Significantly,G. Foster, S. Rahmstorf 

2023 and 2024  rate of warming was unprecedented,Indicators of Global Climate Change 2022, Piers Forster et al
Human-induced warming has been increasing at an unprecedented rate of over 0.2°C per decade. This high rate of warming is caused by a combination of greenhouse gas emissions being at an all-time high over the last decade, as well as reductions in the strength of aerosol cooling. 

Big Record 2023 and 2024 temperatures
2024 was the record at a huge 1.55°C ​(no El Nino) 

2023 at 1.45°C before that ​was a record by a record large margin, boosted by a powerful El Nino WMO put it at 1.45°C

2023 and 2024 were the highest global temperature ​in 125,000 years ​​​

2023 and 2024 were the highest global temperature ​in 125,000 years 

Causes for the big record 2023 and 2024  temperature increases 

1. Record atmospheric CO2, increasing faster than ever
2. Record all atmospheric GHGs
3. El Nino​
4. Decline of cooling aerosol emissions – ​measures have been taken to further reduce fossil fuel air pollution reducing air pollution sulfate cooling aerosols 

Global warming is accelerating even without big 2023 and 2024 records​. ​The long-term and short-term trends of global warming are accelerating

Global warming Acceleration – ​Dr. Makiko Sato (NASA GISS) ​Jan. 2024 ​

Industrial age global warming is extremely rapid- an abrupt global temperature increase 

Aspects of global warming 
​Global warming is average Land-ocean, the ocean having a cooling effect. Global warming is the annual average.
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El Nino/La Nina
​Global tends to be higher in an El Nino phase and cooler in La Nina​​. Global summer warming would be more useful, for heat waves, wild-fires, drought

Global Warming 

 Global warming is the global average (land-sea) temperature increase from 1850-1900

Climate Emergency Institute

Global warming is higher :

  • ​​in the night-time than the day 
  • ​over land than over sea (sea surface temperature SST )
  • over central continents ​
  • in the northern hemisphere and
  • highest in the Arctic ​​​(feedback amplification)

We need to know warming in the summer for heat waves, wild fires and drought​

Arctic temperature 
​The Arctic heating as been at twice the global rate, as the science has said for years- From 1980 to 2021 it heated up to 4x as fast as the rest of the planet. ​That puts the Arctic amplifying feedbacks and tipping points coming on much faster. ​The Arctic holds more carbon, till recently safely frozen, than other region on the planet. Yes – another reason for immediate global emissions decline. 

OCEANS Record high ocean heat is increasing at accelerating rate.

​​ 93% of added GHG heat has gone to the oceans, making ocean heat a much better single guide for assessment and mitigation than global surface warming. Global warming varies,with volcanic eruptions, El Nino La Nina phases, while ocean heat does not.

Marine heat waves 
​Ocean marine heat waves are increasing. 2023 was a record​ for marine heat waves

On an average day in 2023, nearly one third of the global ocean was gripped by a marine heatwave, harming vital ecosystems and food systems. Towards the end of 2023, over 90% of the ocean had experienced heatwave conditions at some point during the year.
​(WMO March 2024, State of Climate in 2023).​​

Global temperatures in the distant past 

​Global temperature is now very high with respect to past million of years 

Key Data

  • Atmospheric CO₂ 428.6 ppm
  • 2024 Temperature anomaly +1.55°C
  • 2024 GHG emissions 53.2 Gt
  • CO₂eq radiative forcing 539 ppm